Why saving Earth from a rogue asteroid might be harder than we thought

Image: A frame-by-frame shows how gravity causes asteroid fragments to re-a
A frame-by-frame shows how gravity causes asteroid fragments to re-accumulate in the hours following impact. Copyright Charles El Mir Johns Hopkins University
By Meghan Bartels, Space.com with NBC News Tech and Science News
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New research suggests space rocks are remarkably hard to shatter.


If humanity ever truly felt our existence threatened by an asteroid, one potential recourse would be to smash the looming space rock into pieces — but new research suggests that that approach may be less likely to succeed than people hope.

The research suggests that an asteroid wouldn't break apart as drastically as previous models suggested, and that in the aftermath of the attempted destruction, the asteroid's gravity would be strong enough to pull the fragments back together.

"It may sound like science fiction but a great deal of research considers asteroid collisions," lead author Charles El Mir, a recent doctoral graduate at Johns Hopkins University, said in a university statement. "For example, if there's an asteroid coming at Earth, are we better off breaking it into small pieces, or nudging it to go a different direction? And if the latter, how much force should we hit it with to move it away without causing it to break? These are actual questions under consideration."

Answering those questions, unsurprisingly, would be easier if we knew more about asteroids — the authors wrote that even when it comes to asteroids that scientists have density estimates for, they typically aren't sure what their interior structure is. Nevertheless, simulations let them model asteroids with a broad range.

The results bode well for asteroids, at least. "We used to believe that the larger the object, the more easily it would break, because bigger objects are more likely to have flaws," El Mir said. "Our findings, however, show that asteroids are stronger than we used to think and require more energy to be completely shattered."

Of course, asteroids aren't just potential threats — they also intrigue scientists because they are leftover rubble from the formation of the solar system, and some hope that they could become resources for companies seeking to mine their water and metals.

The research is described in a paper published in the March issue of the journal Icarus.

Email Meghan Bartels atmbartels@space.comor follow her@meghanbartels. Follow uson Twitter@Spacedotcomand onFacebook.


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