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Economy

Recession warning? European business activity slumps due to Iran war

Business activity across the eurozone slowed sharply in May, hitting its lowest level in more than two and a half years.

Economy

US 30-year bond yield tops 5% for the first time since 2007

The US Treasury sold 30-year bonds at a yield above 5% for the first time since 2007 on Wednesday, highlighting mounting investor unease just as the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as the next chair of the Federal Reserve.

Economy

ECB holds rates at 2% as inflation rises and eurozone growth slows

The European Central Bank has held interest rates at 2% for a third straight meeting, even as inflation rises and growth slows across the eurozone.

Economy

US Fed leaves rates unchanged as Powell set to remain on board

A divided US Federal Reserve has held interest rates steady for a third consecutive meeting, as policymakers grapple with heightened uncertainty linked to the war in the Middle East. The decision is expected to be the last overseen by Chair Jerome Powell.

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Economy

How AI is forcing central banks to rethink inflation and rates

Central banks are racing to understand how AI is reshaping inflation — and they do not all agree on the answer.

Business

Key US senator lifts block on Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh

The Republican senator who had effectively blocked confirmation of President Donald Trump’s pick to lead the Federal Reserve said on Sunday he was dropping his opposition after the Department of Justice ended its investigation of the current central bank chair.

Economy

ECB rate dilemma: Eurozone growth stalls as Iran war fuels inflation

The European Central Bank faces heightened uncertainty ahead of next week’s rate decision, with President Christine Lagarde warning the "stop-start nature" of the Iran war is making the economic outlook harder to assess.

Economy

Fed nominee Warsh rejects 'Trump sock puppet' label at Senate hearing

Kevin Warsh, the nominee for Chair of the US Federal Reserve, declared he has not pledged to lower interest rates to secure his position despite public calls from US President Donald Trump for immediate monetary easing.

Economy

UK inflation hits 3.3% as Iran war drives energy costs higher

British consumer prices rose at a faster pace in March, reaching 3.3% as the ongoing Iran war sent fuel prices soaring. The data has forced markets to reassess expectations for the Bank of England, with a previously anticipated interest rate cut next week now looking very unlikely.

Business

Is Portugal heading into a mortgage crisis?

Benchmark interbank rates have been rising, and this is beginning to impact mortgage repayments at a time when there is a record number of such loans in Portugal.

Economy

Eurozone inflation jumps to 2.5% amid Iran war: Will ECB hike rates?

Consumer prices jumped at their fastest monthly pace since October 2022, driven almost entirely by the energy shock from the Iran conflict. Economists are split on whether Frankfurt will pull the trigger.

Economy

Is Europe sleepwalking into its worst gas crisis since 2022?

European gas prices have surged 70% and storage is running low. Supply disruptions, rising inflation and the prospect of ECB tightening are raising fears of a repeat of the 2022 energy crisis.

Economy

Iran war energy shock puts ECB on alert — Lagarde vows timely response

The Iran war has sent oil and gas prices surging and rate hike bets rising, but ECB chief Christine Lagarde says the eurozone is far better placed to absorb the shock than it was when Russia invaded Ukraine.

Economy

ECB keeps rates steady as rising energy prices fuel inflation concerns

The European Central Bank (ECB) kept its key policy rates on hold on Thursday, as fresh spikes in oil and gas prices threaten to derail recent progress in reducing inflation.

Economy

Bank of England holds rate at 3.75% amid Iran war inflation fears

The Bank of England has held its main interest rate at 3.75% in the wake of rising oil and gas prices following the start of the Iran war.

Economy

Fed projects one rate cut, sees limited Iran war impact

Federal Reserve officials say the war in Iran is likely to push up inflation this year, while having little impact on economic growth.

Economy

Federal Reserve not likely to cut rates as Iran war stokes inflation

The Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates steady and may signal it will not cut rates at all this year as the Iran war complicates the central bank's inflation outlook.

Business

Cooling UK inflation fuels expectations of March interest rate cut

Lower food and gas prices push inflation down to 3%, increasing expectations of a Bank of England rate cut in March.

Economy

ECB rates unchanged, Lagarde: 'Inflation is in a good place'

The ECB kept rates unchanged as inflation fell to 1.7%. Christine Lagarde said policy is “in a good place”, downplaying the undershoot as temporary, while stressing data dependence, balanced risks and the need for EU reforms to support growth.

Economy

BoE holds rates at 3.75% as inflation stays stubbornly above target

The Bank of England held rates at 3.75%, with inflation still above the 2% target and early-2026 data hinting the economy has started the year stronger than expected — complicating the case for near-term cuts.