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King penguins are getting a boost from climate change – but it might not be good news

In this photo provided by Gaël Bardon, part of the king penguin colony is visible at La Baie du Marin, Possession Island, Crozet Archipelago, Jan. 16, 2026.
In this photo provided by Gaël Bardon, part of the king penguin colony is visible at La Baie du Marin, Possession Island, Crozet Archipelago, Jan. 16, 2026. Copyright  Gaël Bardon/CSM/CNRS/IPEV via AP
Copyright Gaël Bardon/CSM/CNRS/IPEV via AP
By Seth Borenstein with AP
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“Winning for this species might mean losing for another species,” one scientist warns.

The warming world has disrupted the timing for plant and animal reproduction, and it's usually bad news for species that depend on each other – like flowers blooming too early and pollinating bees arriving too late. But researchers have found the rare critter that's getting a boost from the change: king penguins.

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A new study of 19,000 king penguins in a sub-Antarctic island chain found their breeding is starting 19 days earlier than it did in 2000. Mating earlier has increased the breeding success rate by 40 per cent, according to a study in the 11 March journal Science Advances.

The study of timing in nature is called phenology. It's been a major concern for biologists because predators and prey and pollinators and plants are mostly adapting to warmer climates at different rates. And that means crucial mismatches in timing.

It's especially common in birds and pollinating species such as bees. Most birds, especially in North America, aren't keeping pace with changes in phenology, according to Clemson University biological sciences professor Casey Youngflesh, who wasn't part of the study.

King penguin climate change adaptation is 'quite striking'

Having a species like the king penguin adapt so well to seasonal shifts and timing changes “is unprecedented”, says study co-author Celine Le Bohec, a seabird ecologist at the French science agency CNRS. “It's quite striking.”

Unlike other penguins – which are threatened with dwindling numbers because of earlier breeding – the king penguin has the ability to breed from late October to March. And they are taking advantage of that flexibility, Le Bohec says.

They are succeeding even though the water is warming and the food web that they rely on is changing with it, says Le Bohec and study lead author Gaël Bardon, a seabird ecologist at the Scientific Centre of Monaco.

“They can adjust really well their foraging behaviour,” Bardon says. “We know that some birds are going directly to the south, to the polar front. Some are going to the north. Some are staying around the colony and so they can adjust their behaviour and that’s what makes king penguins cope really well with such changes for the moment.”

Le Bohec adds that it may only be a temporary adjustment to an environment that is changing quickly. "So that’s why for the moment the species is able to cope with this change, but till when? This, we don’t know, because it’s going very, very fast.”

In this photo provided by Gaël Bardon, a king penguin chick hatches from its egg on Possession Island, Crozet Archipelago, Jan. 6, 2026.
In this photo provided by Gaël Bardon, a king penguin chick hatches from its egg on Possession Island, Crozet Archipelago, Jan. 6, 2026. Gaël Bardon/CSM/CNRS/IPEV via AP

Why do king penguins cope better than others?

Other penguins that have limited diets are more threatened by changes coming from a warming ocean and the makeup of the food chain. But king penguins – which are so abundant they are considered a species of least concern – can eat other prey besides the lanternfish that makes up their primary diet, researchers say.

“The king penguin may have a bit of flexibility as a trick up its sleeve, and may be in a good position to adapt as their environment changes,” says Michelle LaRue, a professor of Antarctic marine science at the University of Canterbury in New Zealand who was not part of the study. But she says she wonders what happens after breeding because king penguins live 20 or more years in the wild and this study looks at only a small part of their lifespan.

Outside scientists are just as cautious as Le Bohec and Bardon over whether to declare the king penguins a rare good-news climate change story.

“Winning for this species might mean losing for another species if they are competing for resources,” Clemson's Youngflesh says.

Ignacio Juarez Martinez, a biologist at Oxford University in the United Kingdom, who conducted a study of different penguins with earlier breeding, says: “This study shows that king penguins might be a winner for now, which is excellent news, but climate change is ongoing and future changes to currents, precipitation or temperatures can undo these gains.”

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