UniCredit shareholders prepare for a bumper payout as the bank forecasts profits of more than €10 billion this year.
Italian banking group UniCredit has delivered a robust third quarter, underscoring its position as one of Europe’s stronger lenders.
“UniCredit delivered yet another set of record results, with net revenues up 1.2% and costs down 0.1% versus last year," said CEO Andrea Orcel in a statement.
Net profit came in at €2.6 billion in the third quarter, up 4.7% year-on-year, and above a company estimate of €2.4bn.
Over the first nine months of the year, the bank's net profits rose by 12.9% to €8.7bn.
"These results reflect disciplined execution, and I am confident that we will continue to build sustainable value for all stakeholders," said Orcel.
UniCredit also reaffirmed full-year 2025 net profit guidance at €10.5bn and said it planned to distribute at least €9.5bn to shareholders.
Why this matters
In a European banking sector facing low growth, investor pressure, and regulatory hurdles, the results are significant for several reasons.
First, UniCredit’s combination of revenue growth, cost control, and low credit impairments suggests a resilience not always seen among its peers.
Second, the reaffirmation of strong guidance signals management confidence in execution through to year-end despite macroeconomic uncertainties in European and global markets.
Thirdly, the capital position and shareholder-return commitments indicate that the bank is in a position to manage risk and reward investors.
Europe’s banks are navigating reduced margins, regulatory costs, and lacklustre loan demand. Against that backdrop, UniCredit’s cost-income ratio of 37% in the quarter is a standout.
The lender also noted that its medium-term ambitions remain unchanged, standing by a net profit target of above €11 billion for the full-year 2027.
What to watch
Key to delivery will be how UniCredit handles a potential slowdown in areas such as net interest income, which fell 5.4% year-on-year in the quarter, and how it sustains its cost-efficiency edge.
The impact of wider economic weakness in Italy, Germany, and Central and Eastern Europe, all countries with strong UniCredit presence, remains a risk.
Additionally, conversion of its medium-term plans into reality will require continued disciplined execution. This is especially the case as the bank pursues strategic initiatives such as life insurance policy changes in Italy and its takeover of Commerzbank.
UniCredit has built a 26% stake in the German lender over the last year, although Orcel's advances are facing fierce opposition from the government in Berlin.