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German business sentiment clouds over but no sign of recession - Ifo

German business sentiment clouds over but no sign of recession - Ifo
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By Reuters
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BERLIN -German business morale fell more than expected in June but a recession was not yet in sight despite rising energy prices and the threat of gas shortages, a survey showed on Friday.

The Ifo institute said its business climax index dropped to 92.3 following a reading of 93.0 in May, when the closely watched indicator posted a surprise recovery despite the economic impact of the Russia-Ukraine war.

A Reuters poll of analysts had pointed to a minimal fall in June to a reading of 92.9.

"Despite increased uncertainty, there are no signs of a recession at the moment," Ifo expert Klaus Wohlrabe told Reuters. "However, the threat of a gas shortage has significantly increased uncertainty among companies."

Not all sectors were suffering equally, as manufacturing and trade took significant hits while there was clear improvement in a services sector no longer encumbered by COVID-19 lockdowns, the data showed.

However, supply bottlenecks - which are slowing down carmakers, for example - have eased only minimally and high inflation continued to suppress consumer spending, Wohlrabe said.

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