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UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer says Russia could attack NATO within four years

A billboard advertises work with the Russian military in St. Petersburg, 23 January, 2026
A billboard advertises work with the Russian military in St. Petersburg, 23 January, 2026 Copyright  AP Photo
Copyright AP Photo
By Gavin Blackburn
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Earlier on Friday, Britain's military chief warned the country must boost its defences in response to threats posed by Russia, which invaded Ukraine more than four years ago.

Russia could attack a NATO country within four years according to western intelligence assessments, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer warned on Friday.

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He made the comments as he pledged his government would publish a long-delayed defence investment plan before next month's NATO summit.

"It is our intelligence assessment and the assessment of other countries in NATO that there could be an attack by Russia on NATO as soon as 2030," Starmer said.

"So you can see the urgency and the priority that we're putting behind this now," he added during a visit to a drone manufacturer in southwest England.

It echoes similar timeframes expressed by other European leaders and NATO chief Mark Rutte who warned in December that Russia "could be ready to use military force against NATO within five years."

Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer speaks as he visits STARK, a leading defence tech company in Swindon, 5 June, 2026
Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer speaks as he visits STARK, a leading defence tech company in Swindon, 5 June, 2026 AP Photo

Starmer has pledged to raise defence spending to 2.5% of GDP from next year, increasing to 3% in the next parliament.

A 10-year defence investment plan following a review of the UK's defence capabilities was meant to be published late last year but has not yet been produced.

Starmer announced it would be published before the NATO summit in Turkey, beginning on 7 July.

UK media has reported that the plan has been delayed due to disagreements between the finance ministry and other departments over the cost.

Starmer insisted to reporters it would be "fully funded."

Earlier on Friday, Britain's military chief warned the country must boost its defences in response to threats posed by Russia, which invaded Ukraine more than four years ago.

A rescue worker puts out a fire of a storage depot damaged after a Russian strike on the Dnipropetrovsk region, 4 June, 2026
A rescue worker puts out a fire of a storage depot damaged after a Russian strike on the Dnipropetrovsk region, 4 June, 2026 AP Photo

"In my 35-year career, this is the most dangerous period that I have known," Air Chief Marshal Richard Knighton told the BBC.

"And as a consequence, it is important that we enhance the capability and the readiness of our armed forces alongside our allies to deter our adversaries from doing something daft."

US President Donald Trump has repeatedly urged NATO countries to spend more on defence and become less reliant on Washington for security.

Additional sources • AFP

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