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FX volatility at Feb 2020 lows with dollar gaining slightly

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Dollar subdued as investors look to key U.S. inflation gauge
Dollar subdued as investors look to key U.S. inflation gauge   -   Copyright  Thomson Reuters 2021
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By Sinéad Carew

NEWYORK – The U.S. dollar edged up slightly and currency market volatility on Tuesday fell to its lowest level in more than a year, as investors sat on the sidelines waiting for clearer signals on central bank policy and inflation levels.

With an impending European Central Bank meeting on Thursday and U.S. inflation data due the same day, and a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting next week, currencies appeared to be treading water while the S&P 500 dipped very slightly. [.N]

Range-bound currency markets mean a fall in volatility. The Deutsche Bank Currency Volatility Index hit its lowest level since February 2020.

“The reasons we’re rangebound today on the dollar overall is we’ve a lot of option expiries in play,” said Erik Bregar, head of FX strategy at Exchange Bank of Canada. “The big events of the week are going to be the Bank of Canada meeting tomorrow and Thursday’s session has U.S. CPI (consumer price index), ECB meeting and a big 30-year U.S. bond auction.”

Traders on Tuesday sent longer-term U.S. Treasury yields to their lowest in more than a month after a report showed small business owners less confident, and narrowing the spread of a closely watched part of the yield curve.

The U.S. dollar found a bit of support on Tuesday as investors prepared for the inflation data after Friday’s weaker-than-expected jobs data, which has eased concerns about an early tapering of the Federal Reserve’s monetary stimulus.

The euro fell marginally as data showed German industrial production numbers declined in April.

The dollar index rose 0.15% to 90.107, while the euro fell 0.13% against the greenback at $1.2174.

The British pound fell 0.34% to $1.4126 and the Australian dollar eased 0.25% to $0.7735, with both stuck in ranges seen over the past couple of months.

Cryptocurrencies dropped but trading was generally calm. Bitcoin was last down 2.99% at $32592.63, while ether fell 5% to $2,457.78.

Currency bid prices at 9:47AM (1347 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Dollar index 90.1070 89.9880 +0.15% 0.140% +90.1810 +89.9530

Euro/Dollar $1.2174 $1.2190 -0.13% -0.36% +$1.2194 +$1.2165

Dollar/Yen 109.4550 109.2550 +0.19% +5.94% +109.5550 +109.2000

Euro/Yen 133.24 133.16 +0.06% +4.98% +133.3500 +133.1400

Dollar/Swiss 0.8968 0.8976 -0.08% +1.37% +0.8989 +0.8953

Sterling/Dollar $1.4126 $1.4177 -0.34% +3.41% +$1.4184 +$1.4128

Dollar/Canadian 1.2091 1.2083 +0.07% -5.05% +1.2094 +1.2071

Aussie/Dollar $0.7735 $0.7756 -0.25% +0.57% +$0.7763 +$0.7734

Euro/Swiss 1.0916 1.0938 -0.20% +1.01% +1.0945 +1.0911

Euro/Sterling 0.8617 0.8596 +0.24% -3.58% +0.8617 +0.8594

NZ $0.7197 $0.7230 -0.45% +0.22% +$0.7232 +$0.7197

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway 8.2625 8.2600 -0.03% -3.84% +8.2810 +8.2405

Euro/Norway 10.0610 10.0695 -0.08% -3.88% +10.0798 +10.0410

Dollar/Sweden 8.2698 8.2627 -0.04% +0.90% +8.2870 +8.2535

Euro/Sweden 10.0677 10.0715 -0.04% -0.09% +10.0883 +10.0586

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