By Alistair Smout
LONDON (Reuters) – Britain’s Thomas Cook <TCG.L> urgently needs 200 million pounds ($251 million) to satisfy its lenders or one of the world’s oldest holiday companies could collapse in the next few days, potentially leaving hundreds of thousands of holidaymakers stranded.
The pioneer of the package holiday agreed key terms of a 900 million pound recapitalisation plan last month with Chinese shareholder Fosun <1992.HK> and the travel firm’s banks, significantly diluting existing shareholders.
But the firm released a statement on Friday saying a last-minute demand for additional funding puts that deal at risk.
Thomas Cook employs 21,000 staff and has 600,000 customers currently on holiday, mostly from Germany, Britain and Scandinavia.
A source familiar with the negotiations said the company had “a matter of days” to find a solution. Shares in the company hit a record low of 2 pence following the statement, down 15 percent on the day.
Lenders are demanding another 200 million pounds in underwritten funds to support Thomas Cook through its winter trading period, when cash is usually running low.
“Discussions to agree final terms on the recapitalisation and reorganisation of the company are continuing,” Thomas Cook said.
“These discussions include a recent request for a seasonal standby facility of 200 million pounds, on top of the previously announced 900 million pounds injection of new capital.”
Thomas Cook said the recapitalisation posed “a significant risk of no recovery” for the diluted shareholders.
Thomas Cook has struggled with competition in popular destinations, high debt levels and an unusually hot summer in 2018 which reduced last-minute bookings.
The firm has 1.7 billion pounds of debt.
Latest Credit Default Swap (CDS) pricing indicates an implied probability of default on Thomas Cook of 100%, data from IHS Markit showed, and a decision on whether investors who used the instrument to bet against the company are due a payout has been delayed until at least Monday.
A source close to the discussions said on Thursday that Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) <RBS.L> had hit Thomas Cook with a last minute demand for the extra funding, adding that the situation “was becoming more critical”.
A spokesman for RBS said the bank did not “recognise this characterisation of events” and was working with all parties to “try and find a resolution to the funding and liquidity shortfall at Thomas Cook”.
Under original terms of the plan, Fosun – whose Chinese parent owns all-inclusive holiday firm Club Med – would contribute 450 million pounds ($552 million) of new money in return for at least 75% of the tour operator business and 25% of the group’s airline.
“Our proposed contribution of £450m has not changed throughout this process,” a spokesman for Fosun Tourism Group said.
“As a minority investor in Thomas Cook Group plc, and with no Board representation, we are still working tirelessly with a large number of other stakeholders and interested parties to find agreement on the Company’s proposed recapitalisation plan.”
Thomas Cook’s lending banks and bondholders were to stump up a further 450 million pounds under the plan and convert their existing debt to equity, giving them in total about 75% of the airline and up to 25% in the tour operator business, the group said.
Graphic: Thomas Cook shares, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/12/6372/6303/Thomas%20Cook%20shares.png
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If that deal is not finalised before a creditor vote on Sept. 27, then holidaymakers could be facing the second major collapse of a tour operator in as many years, after the failure of Monarch in 2017.
When Monarch collapsed, the British government repatriated all customers abroad, both those with package holiday protection from Air Travel Organisers’ Licensing (ATOL) and flight-only passengers who were not protected.
If Britain does the same for Thomas Cook’s customers, then 160,000 Britons would need repatriation, eclipsing the number brought home after Monarch’s collapse. A source familiar with the matter said that Britain’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) was making contingency plans and the bill for the government could reach 600 million pounds.
A spokesman for the Department for Transport declined to say if there were plans for a repatriation effort. Asked about Thomas Cook, he said: “We do not speculate on the financial situation of individual businesses.”
British pilot union BALPA, whose members have previously gone on strike in a disagreement over pay with Thomas Cook’s management, have supported the restructuring and urged the banks and government to support the travel group.
“If Thomas Cook goes into administration it will cost the taxpayer as much to repatriate holidaymakers as it would cost to save Thomas Cook,” General Secretary Brian Strutton said in a statement.
“The government sat on the sidelines wringing its hands when Monarch Airlines was let down by its financiers, this time government needs to get a grip and do its bit to save Thomas Cook.”
Graphic: Thomas Cook CDS, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/12/6369/6300/thomas%20cook.png
(This story refiles to fix typo in first paragraph)
(Reporting by Alistair Smout; additional reporting and graphics by Josephine Mason; Editing by Edmund Blair and Elaine Hardcastle)