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Oil prices fall amid currency and share market turmoil, crude supply surge

Oil prices fall amid currency and share market turmoil, crude supply surge
FILE PHOTO: A pump jack operates in the Permian Basin oil production area near Wink, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo -
Nick Oxford(Reuters)
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By Henning Gloystein

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Thursday amid volatile currency and stock markets, and as analysts warned of an economic slowdown for 2019 just as crude supply is rising globally.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures <CLc1> were at $45.93 per barrel at 0152 GMT, down 61 cents, or 1.3 percent, from their last settlement.

International Brent crude futures <LCOc1> were down 36 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $54.55 per barrel.

Markets were roiled by a more than 3 percent crash of the U.S.-dollar against Japan's yen overnight <JPY=D3>, and after U.S. tech giant Apple <AAPL.O> cut its sales forecast.

"We did not foresee the magnitude of the economic deceleration, particularly in Greater China," Apple chief executive Tim Cook said.

The slowdown in China and turmoil in stock and currency markets is making investors nervous, including in oil markets.

Investment bank Jefferies said in a 2019 opening note to clients and employees that the start of the year "doesn't feel as firm, the future doesn't feel as certain and optimistic, and the path forward does not seem as clear."

The U.S. bank added that "markets are extremely volatile and virtually impossible to anticipate or navigate."


Oil markets have also come under pressure from a surge in supply.

U.S. crude production stood at a record 11.7 million barrels per day (bpd) in late 2018, making the United States the world's biggest oil producer.

Others are not sitting idle, with Russian output reaching a record of more than 11 million bpd in 2018.

Supply from Iraq, the number two producer in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) behind Saudi Arabia, is also up, with December exports at 3.73 million bpd, up from 3.37 million bpd in November.

With production rising and demand growth expected to slow, many analysts expect a global oil supply overhang to build in the first months of 2019.

(Reporting by Henning Gloystein; editing by Richard Pullin)

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