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Italy industry output falls back in December after November jump

Italy industry output falls back in December after November jump
Italy industry output falls back in December after November jump   -   Copyright  Thomson Reuters 2022
By Reuters

By Gavin Jones

ROME, Feb 9 – Italian industrial output was weaker than expected in December, falling 1.0% from the month before after a large, upwardly revised rise of 2.1% in November, data showed on Wednesday.

A Reuters survey of 19 analysts had pointed to a 0.7% monthly decline in December.

November’s data was revised up from an originally reported 1.9% increase.

On a work-day adjusted year-on-year basis, industrial output was up 4.4% in December, ISTAT said, slowing from a 6.6% annual increase in November.

In the three months to December, output was up 0.5% compared with the previous quarter, ISTAT said, slowing from a gain of 1.1% in the third quarter.

Over the whole of 2021 industrial output was up 11.8% from the year before, recovering all of the 11.4% drop in 2020 when the economy was crippled by coronavirus lockdowns.

December saw month-on-month declines in production of consumer goods, investment goods and intermediate goods, ISTAT said, while output of energy products increased marginally.

The Italian economy grew by a preliminary 6.5% in 2021, data showed last week, following a record contraction of 8.9% in 2020.

For this year, Mario Draghi’s government officially forecasts a gross domestic product rise of 4.7%, but high energy prices and a recent surge in coronavirus cases and deaths have clouded the outlook.

Business and consumer confidence declined in January and most analysts and think tanks now view the government’s full-year growth forecast as optimistic.

ISTAT gave the following details.

INDUSTRIALPRODUCTIONDECNOVOCT

Mth/mth pct change (adjusted) -1.0 2.1r -0.6r

Yr/yr pct change (adjusted) 4.4 6.6r 1.9

Yr/yr pct change (unadjusted) 7.7 6.5r -1.2

NOTE: BASE 2015=100.

® indicates revised figures.

ISTAT provided the following breakdown by broad product group in December: adjusted month-on-month percent change.

Consumer goods -1.0

Investment goods -2.2

Intermediate goods -0.5

Energy goods 0.1

((Gavin Jones, Rome newsroom +39 06 8522 4350, fax +39 06 854 0568 rome.newsroom@news.reuters.com))

Keywords: ITALYECONOMY/OUTPUT