LONDON (Reuters) – ING, one of Europe’s banks, said a no-deal Brexit would send the pound down to parity with the euro and push it down to $1.10 against the U.S. dollar.
“We think the most likely scenario is one where parliament back a no-confidence motion and force an Article 50 extension at some point in October, setting the scene for a general election in late November or December,” ING said in a note to clients.
“We’d put a 40% probability on a general election taking place, coupled with a further Brexit delay.”
A revocation of Article 50 would send sterling up to $1.45, ING said. Against the dollar GBP=D3, the pound on Wednesday was steady at $1.2059 and against the euro EURGBP=D3 it was unchanged at 92.67 pence.
(Reporting by Guy Faulconbridge; editing by Stephen Addison)