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Eurozone economic growth revised down for end of 2016


economy

Eurozone economic growth revised down for end of 2016

Eurozone economic growth in the final three months of last year was not as good as initially thought.

The statisticians at Eurostat previously estimated GDP expanded by 0.5 percent quarter-on-quarter, but on Tuesday they revised that down to 0.4 percent. That initial flash estimate was on 31 January.

On a year-on-year basis, growth for the 19 countries using the euro slowed to 1.7 percent from the 1.8 percent recorded in the third quarter.

Election effects

The numbers are particularly important in the region’s three countries with upcoming elections.

Compared with the same period a year earlier the Netherlands enjoyed 2.5 percent growth (0.5 percent quarter-on-quarter), France was 1.1 percent (0.4 percent quarter-on-quarter) and Germany 1.8 percent (0.4 percent quarter-on-quarter).

Germany, the bloc’s largest economy, mirrored the eurozone as a whole with 0.4 percent expansion, lower than expected but a rebound from a near-stall (0.1 percent) in the previous quarter.

Greece’s economy contracted 0.4 percent.

Exports weak, domestic demand holding up

The eurozone GDP growth revision was partly due to a large drop in industrial output in December. There was a reduced contribution from exports even as protectionist calls increased.

By contrast domestic demand was stronger in the three top economies – Germany, France and Italy – but consumer spending is at risk from rising prices with inflation at 1.8 percent in January.

The fragility of the eurozone’s recovery will boost the arguments of those European Central Bank board members who want to keep stimulus going.

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