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French elections: Second round predictions

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Polls show that Francois Hollande will maintain his lead at final run off vote on 6th May. Figures given by French polls give the socialist candidate Francois Hollande 54-56% of the vote.
 
The same polls suggest that between 48-60% of Marine Le Pen’s National Front supporters will vote for President Sarkozy.
 
It is estimated that 83-91% of Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s supporters will vote Hollande but that Bayrou’s supporters are more divided. It is estimated that 25-38% of them will vote for Sarkozy.
 
These figures came from samples of approxmately 1,000 voters.

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