Who will lead Turkey through the next four years?
The opinion polls say Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan will win a third consecutive term, and his AK party will triumph again. The only question is by how much. Most polls give the AK close to 50 percent of the vote; enough for a convincing win, but not enough to allow the party to change the constitution at will, one of its long-standing desires.
This ambition is what spooks the secular CHP, which believes something more hardline lurks behind the AK’s moderate Islamic stance. The CHP has improved its 2007 score, but the polls say it still trails far behind.
“It’s so unfortunate that this dark system will continue in our country and even darker days are ahead if the CHP does not win, and that will not encourage us in our struggle,” says the party’s youth leader.
“Erdogan might not reach 356 seats in parliament, which would be good, because such power causes problems, like for example a presidential system. We don’t know if we are for this system or not yet. In my opinion, not reaching that seats threshold might be better,” says an Istanbul fishmonger.
Four years ago 47 percent was enough to give the AK party a landslide. They will be looking to at least repeat that.